AFC South Cheat Sheet

XIV

The South's offseason was a referendum on last year's surprises. Indianapolis looked at Daniel Jones' 2025 and wrote a two-year, $88 million check. Tennessee looked at its own season and hired Robert Saleh, who promptly handed the offense to Brian Daboll. Jacksonville let its franchise back walk to New Orleans and kept the committee.

• IndianapolisThe ReceiptJonathan Taylor at 7.5 is the division's blue chip, and rookie-contract tight end Tyler Warren at 64.9 is its best middle-round value. Jones' new money — and Pittman's departure — mean the passing tree runs through Warren and the young receivers. The market is quietly treating last season as real; at these prices, so can you.
• JacksonvilleThe SplitEtienne's exit left a committee the coaching staff has formalized: Bhayshul Tuten's speed, Chris Rodriguez's goal-line power. Rodriguez at his late price is a club sleeper precisely because red-zone carries pay the bills. Brian Thomas Jr.'s price asks you to trust a chemistry with Trevor Lawrence that the camp reports keep describing as a work in progress.
• HoustonThe ImportDavid Montgomery arrives to do the honest labor while Nico Collins at 21.2 remains the division's best receiver value. Tank Dell, back from the injury that took his season, is the late-round swing at a big-play profile the sleeper columns have rightly adopted.
• TennesseeThe Rebuild, ProperlySaleh brings the defense, Daboll brings the quarterback curriculum, and fourth-overall pick Carnell Tate walks into the clearest rookie target share in football as Cam Ward's first read. Tate is the class's cleanest bet — see Article IV — and the rest of this offense is a year early at any price.

Pay for the settled rooms — Indianapolis, Houston. Speculate only where the role is signed, like Tate's.